Crypto update bitcoin price hits $8400 before pullback key trendlines on watch
The idea is that pundits, economists. However, this misses the point and misunderstands an important aspect of how markets work. The reason the PMI jumped was driven by the decline in sterling. It is about exports. While the market logic of taking sterling higher on the better than expected news is understandable, from an economic point of view, it blunts a key driver.
Two points need to be made. First, when thinking through the impact of a shock event, investors need to consider not just the event, but the market response. This is the kernel of truth in the self-correcting aspect of the market, which may be exaggerated by market fundamentalists.
The decline in sterling and UK interest rates will help cushion a potential economic blow, and the short-term cost of which is greater price pressures, which were also evident in the PMI report. Second, while some observers played up the impact of the referendum on more than market psychology, many, including ourselves, were more concerned about the implications after the divorce for the UK and the future of a medium-sized country with a large current account deficit, reliant on financial services in an era of deleveraging.
We also recognized, like many, that business decisions will take the time to filter through. We have compared the issue to cooking frogs rather than frying bacon.
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